By August 16th expected to become a MAJOR hurricane off the Dominican Republic. I've seen this scenario before and if they for form big and fast before nearing our area they usually fizzle. This bears watching with anyone that has interests along the Jersey shore as I saw models showing Erin moving up the coast and coming close to us by the 21st of August. Of course this all could change but still needs to watched closely.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/