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Old 07-30-2020, 08:42 AM
rwp2101 rwp2101 is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2014
Location: Where the fish are?
Posts: 180
Default Re: My ongoing battle with COVID-19

Wishing you a continued recovery. If you did happen to feel very bad again, mainly with difficulty breathing or your chest feeling heavy and being even more tired don’t be ashamed to go right to the ER or call an ambulance— from accounts of others in your age range that doesn’t always happen but it could be bad news and not a time to be “tough”.

You very likely have covid, and there is no point in getting retested.
My career has been spent judging odds and understanding probabilities. Explanation below for those interested. This is an application of something called Bayes Theorem if you want to look it up...
While big fishy is right about the rate of false positives leaving a lot to be desired, the rate of false negatives means that:
GIVEN your specific symptoms(including loss of taste) & your positive test & the symptoms of your son & his positive test & the timing of your symptoms THEREFORE it’s highly likely you have covid
AND THEREFORE even if you were retested and came back negative, because there are false negatives, one would still conclude, given everything else we know, that you have covid and this is simply a false negative.

Last edited by rwp2101; 07-30-2020 at 08:44 AM.. Reason: Added highly likely qualifier for other stats geeks
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